Percentage to win super bowl12/10/2023 ![]() The Kelce brothers have joked about a Super Bowl rematch. "I wanted to nudge it in the direction where if it were somewhat rare based on my analysis, then I would say so. "It's not really anything I would call remarkable at all," Lorden said, adding that his estimate was conservative. Those calculations suggest the history being made by the Kelces is overdue. With 40-to-1 odds, Lorden said, the situation is equally likely to occur or not occur every 25 years. "The fact that we've now seen it once in 57 years is consistent with those numbers," he said. ![]() "Very unlikely, but it does provide a best-case scenario," he said, adding that skewing the data "here and there" led to estimates ranging from 60-to-1 to 75-to-1 for the brother-vs.- brother matchup. ![]() Jacobson said the 25-to-1 odds are based on "ideal conditions"-such as the brothers being distributed across the NFC and AFC and all teams having the same chance of making the Super Bowl. "But with so many brother pairs, it adds up quickly."ĭuring the Super Bowl era, 323 documented sets of brothers have played in the NFL, according to figures compiled by the Pro Football Hall of Fame. "I was surprised how good these odds are," Jacobson told USA TODAY Sports by email. It will take place Sunday when Jason Kelce, a center with the Philadelphia Eagles, and Travis Kelce, a tight end with the Kansas City Chiefs, and their respective teams face off in Super Bowl 57. Sheldon Jacobson, a professor in the department of computer science at the University of Illinois, estimated the odds are 25-to-1 to 75-to-1 depending on the variables. Gary Lorden, a mathematics professor emeritus at California Institute of Technology, estimated the odds are 40-to-1. "I think the odds are just astronomical."īut two professors with an expertise in statistics crunched the numbers and said the chances of brothers facing off in the NFL's marquee game are no Lotto-type long shot. All rights reserved."It's like having a lottery ticket and punching it," she told USA TODAY Sports. Terms of Use and Privacy Policy and Safety Information / Your California Privacy Rights are applicable to you. ^ Back to Top ^ © 2023 ESPN Internet Ventures. More: Texans 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Cardinals 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Colts 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Titans 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Commanders 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Buccaneers 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Rams 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Panthers 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Falcons 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Steelers 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Patriots 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Bears 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Packers 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Raiders 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Giants 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Vikings 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Broncos 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Seahawks 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Saints 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Browns 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS New Orleans Saints (+3500) More: Chargers 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Jaguars 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Dolphins 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Lions 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. ![]() More: Ravens 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Jets 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Cowboys 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Bengals 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Bills 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: 49ers 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Eagles 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. More: Chiefs 2023 betting lines, odds, schedule ATS. The Philadelphia Eagles (+750), San Francisco 49ers (+900), Buffalo Bills (+900) and Cincinnati Bengals (+1000) round out the top five.Ĭheck out the latest NFL championship odds for all 32 teams in 2023 and get analysis from our experts on their favorite futures picks ahead of the season.Īll odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook The defending champion Kansas City Chiefs are the current favorites at +600. With the 2023 NFL season less than a month away, the countdown to Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas is officially on. You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browserĮvery NFL team's Super Bowl odds, win total and schedule ATS
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